Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 907.850663 1036.507588 1183.737737 1366.209204 1588.411203 1852.996262 2.196137e+03
2024-10-20 711.977959 868.912009 1065.929865 1336.808709 1708.435732 2214.465036 2.982039e+03
2024-10-27 605.258370 765.804862 977.931788 1287.513151 1743.806837 2420.217963 3.560733e+03
2024-11-03 557.259641 729.117978 967.404367 1335.884688 1919.491995 2864.937377 4.656192e+03
2024-11-10 515.741313 693.199675 949.080433 1364.334114 2063.996539 3291.101405 5.886417e+03
2024-11-17 480.274914 660.542382 929.417505 1384.750896 2196.229215 3729.694634 7.346088e+03
2024-11-24 441.907681 618.739364 889.586116 1364.148647 2249.643369 4031.823356 8.660636e+03
2024-12-01 418.702316 597.225332 878.362932 1389.130156 2390.982655 4554.960164 1.085185e+04
2024-12-08 402.297714 584.365055 879.071181 1434.376390 2581.093297 5251.543693 1.408362e+04
2024-12-15 382.587912 564.140942 864.803888 1449.057314 2710.352912 5851.502157 1.757629e+04
2024-12-22 360.019784 537.189332 835.963207 1431.117347 2763.584675 6275.106932 2.087015e+04
2024-12-29 346.817353 524.702829 831.149919 1459.878955 2931.071850 7091.896946 2.702787e+04
2025-01-05 323.185774 493.744893 792.046954 1417.167829 2927.849713 7433.038126 3.160695e+04
2025-01-12 303.405859 468.166319 760.830491 1387.747846 2955.037009 7904.142758 3.811951e+04
2025-01-19 282.958024 439.833796 721.711793 1335.512031 2909.948976 8107.006947 4.337039e+04
2025-01-26 276.586466 435.955817 728.649291 1386.467075 3160.968509 9567.257694 6.428924e+04
2025-02-02 268.285520 427.889138 726.534898 1416.330305 3361.773690 10987.526733 9.338171e+04
2025-02-09 259.733256 418.692114 721.224538 1437.812259 3545.080569 12494.599072 1.373504e+05
2025-02-16 247.669949 402.131913 699.510682 1416.144569 3585.767644 13346.158379 1.802075e+05
2025-02-23 240.972332 395.222647 697.042828 1442.414915 3795.826761 15331.763540 2.927465e+05
2025-03-02 236.515230 392.248651 702.491234 1490.013410 4099.014541 18268.887349 5.727163e+05
2025-03-09 229.639114 384.115926 696.158043 1505.463468 4291.497323 20771.038605 1.082042e+06
2025-03-16 220.553410 371.103704 678.156095 1486.584116 4346.419871 22355.811110 1.829394e+06